Looking at the board, calls that named a price target hit 40% of the time (978 calls). Direction-only calls, which only needed a 3% move, hit 34% of 730 calls. The median horizon for all logged calls is 90 days, so the target group had roughly three months to reach its level. That extra precision seems to cut the miss rate a bit, but we still see more than half miss or get stopped out.
