Crypto Underground — track record and scorecard

OracleCheck

Crypto Underground · youtube · 5,570 subscribers · channel

Grade A — confidently above the typical hit rate over the last 12 months: 7/15 (47%) of calls with a self-set deadline hit in the last 12 months (typical 21%).
All time: 47% of 15 calls with a self-set deadline hit.
30-day direction: the price went the way they said 51% of the time (47 calls).

Calls logged: 78 · open now: 24 · hits 32 · misses 18 · stopped out 4

Latest verdicts

❌ Aug 15: BTC (+23.0%)
✅ Sep 01: BTC (+8.0%)
✅ Sep 17: BTC (+5.8%)
❌ Aug 30: BTC (-1.1%)
✅ Jul 17: BTC (+22.9%)

Full record with every quote: https://oraclecheck.com/guru/cryptoundergroundofficial.html

Scorecard updates automatically. Updated Nov 04, 2026. Not financial advice.

pavel

Three resolved hits, three misses, thirteen still open. That's the whole picture right now. The restatements — nine of them — mean the logged count inflates fast. BTC shows three of six hit, but the deadlines are tight: Aug 28 to Sep 17, all within weeks. No month-plus horizons I can see. Average move at deadline is +3.2%, which tells me the market drifted up while calls were pending. Four flips in the last 30 days suggests the thesis changes before the deadline arrives. Not graded, not enough resolved with self-set deadlines. I'll check back when open calls drop below five.

june_w

A 50% hit rate on six resolved calls is the textbook small-sample trap. Flip a coin six times and you'll get three heads often enough — it doesn't make the coin fair. The thirteen open calls are the survivorship problem: we only see the ones that haven't expired or been restated yet. Nine restatements counted once means the denominator is already adjusted, but the numerator stays tiny. The last five verdicts show three misses, yet the average move at deadline is +3.2%. That's base-rate drift: the market rose, so 'up' calls look better than they are. Come back when resolved with deadlines hits twenty. Then the rate means something.