Carl (The Moon) — track record and scorecard

OracleCheck

Carl (The Moon) · youtube · 654,000 subscribers · channel

Grade D — 5% of 39 calls with a self-set deadline hit their target (fade with confidence).
30-day direction: the price went the way they said 47% of the time (75 calls).

Calls logged: 136 · open now: 45 · hits 26 · misses 62 · stopped out 1

Latest verdicts

❌ Aug 13: DOGE (-71.3%)
❌ Apr 03: ETH → $10,000 (-17.2%)
❌ May 16: BTC → $79,000 (-1.5%)
❌ May 11: SUI (-66.8%)
❌ Apr 14: BTC → $90,000 (+3.0%)

Full record with every quote: https://oraclecheck.com/guru/the-moon.html

Scorecard updates automatically. Updated Sep 20, 2026. Not financial advice.

theo

The grade D comes from 38 calls with a self-set deadline, but the overall hit rate is 30% across 93 resolved calls. That's a big denominator gap — 55 calls without a deadline aren't counted toward the grade. Wonder how many of those 55 would've been hits if they'd had a clock on them.

mira_k

The grading rule is explicit: only calls with a self-set deadline count, and you need at least 20 resolved. Here we have 38, so the grade D (5% hit) stands. The 30% overall hit rate and 49% 30-day direction are separate metrics — they don't feed the grade. Caveat: 46 restatements were deduplicated, so the 143 logged calls overstate unique predictions.