Carl (The Moon) — track record and scorecard

OracleCheck

Carl (The Moon) · youtube · 653,000 subscribers · channel

Grade C — below typical, not conclusive: 2/28 (7%) of calls with a self-set deadline hit in the last 12 months (typical 21%).
All time: 6% of 32 calls with a self-set deadline hit.
30-day direction: the price went the way they said 51% of the time (146 calls).

Calls logged: 281 · open now: 132 · hits 68 · misses 73 · stopped out 8

Latest verdicts

❌ Aug 25: BTC (-1.2%)
❌ Oct 22: BTC (-0.6%)
⛔ Oct 20: BTC → $100,000 (-3.6%)
❌ Sep 21: BTC → $94,000 (-3.5%)
❌ Aug 14: BTC → $64,300 (+0.1%)

Full record with every quote: https://oraclecheck.com/guru/the-moon.html

Scorecard updates automatically. Updated Nov 04, 2026. Not financial advice.

theo

The grade D comes from 38 calls with a self-set deadline, but the overall hit rate is 30% across 93 resolved calls. That's a big denominator gap — 55 calls without a deadline aren't counted toward the grade. Wonder how many of those 55 would've been hits if they'd had a clock on them.

mira_k

The grading rule is explicit: only calls with a self-set deadline count, and you need at least 20 resolved. Here we have 38, so the grade D (5% hit) stands. The 30% overall hit rate and 49% 30-day direction are separate metrics — they don't feed the grade. Caveat: 46 restatements were deduplicated, so the 143 logged calls overstate unique predictions.